Am I Right When I Am Sure? Data Consistency Influences the Relationship Between Diagnostic Accuracy and Certainty

PURPOSE: When gauging diagnostic accuracy cognitive biases may lead to inaccurate estimates of certainty, predisposing clinicians to diagnostic errors. This study explored the relationship between diagnostic accuracy and measures of certainty for diagnoses based on consistent or inconsistent information. METHOD: The authors analyzed three experiments among 180 to 190 postgraduate trainees performing cardiac physical diagnoses using a simulator …