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Burden of disease scenarios for 204 countries and...
Journal article

Burden of disease scenarios for 204 countries and territories, 2022–2050: a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Future trends in disease burden and drivers of health are of great interest to policy makers and the public at large. This information can be used for policy and long-term health investment, planning, and prioritisation. We have expanded and improved upon previous forecasts produced as part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) and provide a reference forecast (the most likely future), and …

Authors

Collaborators GF; Vollset SE; Ababneh HS; Abate YH; Abbafati C; Abbasgholizadeh R; Abbasian M; Abbastabar H; Al Magied AHAA; ElHafeez SA

Journal

The Lancet, Vol. 403, No. 10440, pp. 2204–2256

Publisher

Elsevier

Publication Date

May 2024

DOI

10.1016/s0140-6736(24)00685-8

ISSN

0140-6736