Estimation of screening sensitivity and sojourn time from an organized screening program

Regular screening with mammography is widely recommended to reduce breast cancer mortality. However, whether breast screening does more harm than good has long been debated. Since a full evaluation of the effect on mortality could take 10-15 years in order to provide a reliable estimate of the eventual benefits and harms, it is unrealistic to expect each new modification of a screening technique to be evaluated in this way. Therefore, one needs …