selected scholarly activity
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chapters
- Macroeconomic aspects of the transition to zero population growth. 81-111. 2019
- The sensitivity of health-care costs to changes in population age structure. 175-202. 2019
- The Future Population of Canada and Its Age Distribution. 27-56. 2007
- The Time Path of the Economy as the Population Moves Towards a Stationary State. 109-131. 1984
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conferences
- Population Aging, Older Workers, and Canada's Labour Force. Canadian Public Policy/ Analyse de Politiques. 481-492. 2009
- Time series analysis and stochastic forecasting: An econometric study of mortality and life expectancy. Journal of Population Economics. 203-227. 2005
- Alternative Pasts, Possible Futures: A "What If" Study of the Effects of Fertility on the Canadian Population and Labour Force. Canadian Public Policy/ Analyse de Politiques. 443-443. 2002
- Demographic trends, labour force participation, and long-term growth. FISCAL TARGETS AND ECONOMIC GROWTH. 21-57. 1998
- Student enrollment and faculty renewal: The response of a tenure-based university system to demographic and budgetary shocks. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization. 101-127. 1998
- Population Aging and the Maintenance of Social Support Systems. Canadian Journal on Aging. 485-498. 1997
- AN ECONOMETRIC MACRO-MODEL OF LIFE-CYCLE CONSUMPTION, FERTILITY, AND LEISURE CHOICE. Population index. 495-495. 1982
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journal articles
- Changes and Stability in Marital Status: Evidence from Canadian Income Tax Returns. Canadian Studies in Population. 48:239-264. 2021
- In Living Memory: The Demographic Dynamics of Event Recollection in a Stable Population*. Population and Development Review. 47:219-235. 2021
- Age–Income Dynamics over the Life Course: Cohort Transition Patterns in Relative Income Based on Canadian Tax Returns. Canadian Public Policy/ Analyse de Politiques. 46:508-530. 2020
- One size may not fit all: Welfare benefits and cost reductions with optional differentiated household electricity rates. Resources and Energy Economics. 61:101160-101160. 2020
- Rethinking reponsibilty. Resource Recycling. 39:28-31. 2020
- Effects of Population Aging on Gross Domestic Product per Capita in the Canadian Provinces: Could Productivity Growth Provide an Offset?. Canadian Public Policy/ Analyse de Politiques. 45:16-31. 2019
- What rates of productivity growth would be required to offset the effects of population aging? A study of twenty industrialized countries. Canadian Studies in Population. 45:113-113. 2018
- Correction to: immigration and the rate of population mixing: explorations with a stylized model. IZA Journal of Migration. 7:16. 2017
- Immigration and the rate of population mixing: explorations with a stylized model. IZA Journal of Migration. 7:13. 2017
- Modelling the Age Dynamics of Chronic Health Conditions: Life-Table-Consistent Transition Probabilities and their Application. Canadian Journal on Aging. 34:176-193. 2015
- Exploring the population implications of male preference when the sex probabilities at birth can be altered. Demographic Research. 31:757-778. 2014
- The implications of mean scaling for the calculation of aggregate consumer elasticities. Journal of Economic Inequality. 12:297-314. 2014
- Demography and the Economy. Canadian Studies in Population. 41:225-225. 2014
- The age pattern of retirement: Comparisons of longitudinal, pseudo-cohort, and period measures. Canadian Studies in Population. 40:193-193. 2013
- Income Replacement in Retirement: Longitudinal Evidence from Income Tax Records. Canadian Journal on Aging. 30:523-539. 2011
- Exploring the effects of aggregation error in the estimation of consumer demand elasticities. Economic Modelling. 28:1747-1755. 2011
- A Dynamic Extension of the Period Life Table. Demographic Research. 24:831-854. 2011
- Age of Pension Eligibility, Gains in Life Expectancy, and Social Policy. Canadian Public Policy/ Analyse de Politiques. 37:183-199. 2011
- Age of Pension Eligibility, Gains in Life Expectancy, and Social Policy. Canadian Public Policy/ Analyse de Politiques. 37:183-199. 2011
- Chronic Health Conditions: Changing Prevalence in an Aging Population and Some Implications for the Delivery of Health Care Services. Canadian Journal on Aging. 29:11-21. 2010
- Cohort Working Life Tables for Older Canadians. Canadian Studies in Population. 37:175-175. 2010
- Population Aging, Older Workers, and Canada’s Labour Force. Canadian Public Policy/ Analyse de Politiques. 35:481-492. 2009
- What Is Retirement? A Review and Assessment of Alternative Concepts and Measures. Canadian Journal on Aging. 28:63-63. 2009
- Users and Suppliers of Physician Services: A Tale of Two Populations. International Journal of Social Determinants of Health and Health Services. 39:189-218. 2009
- Errors of aggregation and errors of specification in a consumer demand model: a theoretical note. Canadian Journal of Economics, The. 39:1398-1407. 2006
- Socio-Economic Influences on the Health of Older Canadians: Estimates Based on Two Longitudinal Surveys. Canadian Public Policy/ Analyse de Politiques. 32:59-59. 2006
- The transition from good to poor health: an econometric study of the older population. Journal of Health Economics. 23:1013-1034. 2004
- The transition from good to poor health: an econometric study of the older population. Journal of Health Economics. 23:1013-1034. 2004
- Healthy Aging at Older Ages: Are Income and Education Important?. Canadian Journal on Aging. 23:S155-S169. 2004
- Physician supply: future tense - Response. CANADIAN MEDICAL ASSOCIATION JOURNAL. 169:752-753. 2003
- Physician supply: future tense.. CANADIAN MEDICAL ASSOCIATION JOURNAL. 169:749-750. 2003
- Requirements for physicians in 2030: why population aging matters less than you may think.. CANADIAN MEDICAL ASSOCIATION JOURNAL. 168:1545-1547. 2003
- Energy Demand with Declining Rate Schedules: An Econometric Model for the U.S. Commercial Sector. Land Economics. 79:86-105. 2003
- Exploring the effects of population change on the costs of physician services. Journal of Health Economics. 21:781-803. 2002
- Some Demographic Consequences of Revising the Definition of “Old Age” to Reflect Future Changes in Life Table Probabilities. Canadian Journal on Aging. 21:349-356. 2002
- Independence and Economic Security in Old Age. Canadian Public Policy/ Analyse de Politiques. 27:527-527. 2001
- Population Change and the Requirements for Physicians: The Case of Ontario. Canadian Public Policy/ Analyse de Politiques. 27:469-469. 2001
- Income distribution and aggregation/disaggregation biases in the measurement of consumer demand elasticities. Economics Letters. 73:21-28. 2001
- Population Aging and Its Economic Costs: A Survey of the Issues and Evidence. Canadian Journal on Aging. 19:1-31. 2000
- Population aging and its economic costs: A survey of the issues and evidence. Canadian Journal on Aging. 19:1-31. 2000
- Age, Trend, and Cohort Effects in a Macro Model of Canadian Expenditure Patterns. Journal of business & economic statistics. 17:430-443. 1999
- Age, Trend, and Cohort Effects in a Macro Model of Canadian Expenditure Patterns. Journal of business & economic statistics. 17:430-430. 1999
- How old is old? Revising the definition based on life table criteria. Mathematical Population Studies. 7:147-159. 1999
- The Future Population of Canada, Its Age Distribution and Dependency Relations. Canadian Journal on Aging. 17:83-109. 1998
- Industry-region load profiles: econometric estimation based on marginal totals. Annals of Regional Science, The. 30:223-246. 1996
- The Response of Aggregate Production to Fertility-Induced Changes in Population Age Distribution. Southern Economic Journal. 62:606-606. 1996
- The SHARP way to plan health care services: A description of the system and some illustrative applications in nursing human resource planning. Socio-Economic Planning Sciences. 29:125-137. 1995
- Physician supply in Ontario: further observations on SHARP and the SHARP projections.. CANADIAN MEDICAL ASSOCIATION JOURNAL. 152:1389-1391. 1995
- Demographic Change and the Cost of Publicly Funded Health Care. Canadian Journal on Aging. 14:174-192. 1995
- System for Health Area Resource Planning (SHARP): an application to Ontario medical school enrollment.. CANADIAN MEDICAL ASSOCIATION JOURNAL. 151:39-45. 1994
- Teachers and the birth rate. Journal of Population Economics. 7:307-329. 1994
- Lifetime smoking patterns: A transition probability analysis. Socio-Economic Planning Sciences. 27:181-198. 1993
- Comment. Social Epistemology. 7:238-242. 1993
- An econometric analysis of housing as both a consumption good and a risky asset. Empirical Economics. 18:215-231. 1993
- Exchange rate policy and the average rate of output in a simple nonlinear model. International Review of Economics and Finance. 2:17-27. 1993
- Resampling a time‐series process: A method of estimating the probabilities associated with alternative plans for protecting pensions against inflation. Journal of applied econometrics. 6:303-314. 1991
- The Effects of Publication Selection on Test Probabilities and Estimator Distributions. Risk Analysis. 10:131-136. 1990
- The Constituencies of Adult Education Programs: Similarities and Differences among Age Groups and Other Components of the Population. Canadian Journal of Education. 15:72-72. 1990
- Macro-effects of changes in household preferences for children. Journal of Population Economics. 2:165-188. 1989
- Health Care in the Economic-Demographic System: Macro-Effects of Market Control, Government Intervention, and Population Change. Southern Economic Journal. 55:37-37. 1988
- Participation in Adult Education by the Elderly: A Multivariate Analysis and Some Implications for the Future. Canadian Journal on Aging. 7:4-16. 1988
- The response of an industrial firm to alternative electricity rate structures. Resources and energy. 9:327-346. 1987
- The power function of a published hypothesis test. Economics Letters. 25:101-104. 1987
- Prospective Aging of the Population and Its Implications For the Labour Force and Government Expenditures. Canadian Journal on Aging. 5:75-98. 1986
- The Effect of Professional Advice on the Stability of a Speculative Market. Journal of Political Economy. 93:977-993. 1985
- Shelter allowances in a general equilibrium setting: A model and some simulations. Journal of Urban Economics. 18:47-72. 1985
- Data Mining as an Industry. Review of Economics and Statistics. 67:124-124. 1985
- Population Aging and Future Health Costs in Canada. Canadian Public Policy/ Analyse de Politiques. 9:155-155. 1983
- Potential savings from the adoption of nurse practitioner technology in the Canadian health care system†. Socio-Economic Planning Sciences. 17:199-209. 1983
- A Macro-Economic Analysis of the Effects of a Public Pension Plan. Canadian Journal of Economics, The. 14:609-609. 1981
- Comments on 'Diagnosing Labour Market Imbalances in Canada'. Canadian Public Policy/ Analyse de Politiques. 7:338-338. 1981
- Pensions and the Economic Security of the Elderly. Canadian Public Policy/ Analyse de Politiques. 7:488-488. 1981
- The Future Population and Labour Force of Canada: Projections to the Year 2051. Canadian Public Policy/ Analyse de Politiques. 7:485-485. 1981
- Regression and Factor Analysis Applied in Econometrics. Canadian Journal of Economics, The. 12:107-107. 1979
- Some Economic and Demographic Implications of Future Population Change. Journal of Canadian Studies. 14:81-93. 1979
- FOOD, NUTRIENTS, POPULATION, AND THE ECONOMY - MODEL. CANADIAN FARM ECONOMICS. 14:31-33. 1979
- Single-equation estimators and aggregation restrictions when equations have the same sets of regressors. Journal of Econometrics. 8:173-179. 1978
- On the Prospect of a Labour Shortage. Canadian Public Policy/ Analyse de Politiques. 4:101-101. 1978
- Population and the Economy. Canadian Journal of Economics, The. 10:519-519. 1977
- The Short-Run Dynamics of the Canadian Labour Market. Canadian Public Policy/ Analyse de Politiques. 3:549-549. 1977
- Household and Population Effects on Aggregate Consumption. Review of Economics and Statistics. 58:86-86. 1976
- INFLUENCE OF SOCIOECONOMIC VARIABLES ON FAMILY-SIZE - REPLY TO ORNSTEIN. Canadian Review of Sociology, The. 13:242-244. 1976
- Health-Care Costs When the Population Changes. Canadian Journal of Economics, The. 8:34-34. 1975
- Some Aspects of Economic Adjustments Through Migration Flows. Economic Journal. 84:868-868. 1974
- Some models for simulating canadian manpower flows and related systems. Socio-Economic Planning Sciences. 8:233-248. 1974
- Some Demographic Consequences of Changing Cohort Fertility Patterns: An Investigation Using the Gompertz Function. Population Studies. 28:309-309. 1974
- Some demographic consequences of changing cohort fertility patterns: An investigation using the Gompertz function. Population Studies. 28:309-318. 1974
- Socio-Economic Influences on School Attendance: A Response to Professor Katz. History of Education Quarterly. 14:367-367. 1974
- Socio-Economic Influences on School Attendance: A Study of a Canadian County in 1871. History of Education Quarterly. 14:223-223. 1974
- DATA REVISIONS AND FORECASTING ACCURACY: AN ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS BASED ON PRELIMINARY AND REVISED NATIONAL ACCOUNTING ESTIMATES*. Review of Income and Wealth, The. 19:437-452. 1973
- Measurement Error and Choice of Econometric Estimation Method: Some Empirical Findings. International Statistical Review. 41:343-343. 1973
- The Influence of Socio‐Economic Variables on Family Size in Wentworth County, Ontario, 1871: A Statistical Analysis of Historical Micro‐Data. Canadian Review of Sociology, The. 10:334-345. 1973
- A Simulation Analysis of the Effects of Population Change on a Neoclassical Economy. Journal of Political Economy. 81:356-375. 1973
- A Multi-Country Analysis of the Effects of Data Revisions on an Econometric Model. Journal of the American Statistical Association. 67:286-291. 1972
- Adjustment of Monthly or Quarterly Series to Annual Totals: An Approach Based on Quadratic Minimization. Journal of the American Statistical Association. 66:99-102. 1971
- A simulation analysis of the longer-term effects of immigration on per capita in-come in an aging population. International Journal of Population Studies. 1:75-93.
- Changes in the Canadian population and labour force; prospects and implications. Canadian Studies in Population. 14:187-187.
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preprints
- The Differential Effects of Population Aging on Provincial GDP Per Capita and the Role of Productivity Growth as a Possible Offset 2018
- One Size May Not Fit All: Welfare Benefits and Cost Reductions with Differentiated Household Electricity Rates in a General Equilibrium Model 2017
- What Rates of Productivity Growth Would Be Required to Offset the Effects of Population Aging? A Study of Twenty Industrialised Countries 2017
- Immigration and the Rate of Population Mixing: Explorations with a Stylized Model 2016
- A Simulation Analysis of the Longer-Term Effects of Immigration on per Capita Income in an Aging Population 2015
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scholarly editions
- Biases in consumer elasticities based on micro and aggregate data: an integrated framework and empirical evaluation. Empirical Economics. 531-560. 2016
- Taxing a Commodity with and without Revenue Neutrality: A Calibrated Theoretical Consumer Equilibrium Model. Atlantic Economic Journal. 261-271. 2011
- Age, Retirement, and Expenditure Patterns: An Econometric Study of Older Households. Atlantic Economic Journal. 421-434. 2006
- Aggregation effects on price and expenditure elasticities in a quadratic almost ideal demand system. Canadian Journal of Economics, The. 613-628. 2004
- Energy Use in the Commercial Sector: Estimated Intensities and Costs for Canada Based on US Survey Data. Energy Studies Review.