An integrated Bayesian least-squares-support-vector-machine factorial-analysis (B-LSVM-FA) method for inferring inflow from the Amu Darya to the Aral Sea under ensemble prediction

An integrated Bayesian least-squares-support-vector-machine factorial-analysis (B-LSVM-FA) method is developed through integrating techniques of Bayesian inference, least squares support vector machine (LSVM), and factorial analysis (FA) into a general framework. B-LSVM-FA has advantages in: (i) capturing the complicated nonlinear relationship between input factors and streamflow, (ii) optimizing the key parameters of LSVM through a maximum …