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Predicting price intervals under exogenously...
Journal article

Predicting price intervals under exogenously induced stress

Abstract

We present an experimental protocol to examine the relationship between exogenously induced stress and confidence in a setting applicable to financial markets. Confidence will be measured by a prediction interval for a one period ahead price forecast, based on a series of 100 previous prices; narrower (wider) prediction intervals will be indicative of greater (lower) confidence. Stress will be induced using the Cold Pressor Arm Wrap, a …

Authors

Shead S; Durand RB; Thomas S

Journal

PLOS ONE, Vol. 16, No. 9,

Publisher

Public Library of Science (PLoS)

DOI

10.1371/journal.pone.0255038

ISSN

1932-6203