Chapter
Grey Theory Approach to Quantifying the Risks Associated with General Circulation Models
Abstract
Assessing the risk to water resources facilities under climate change is difficult because the uncertainty associated with 2xCO2 climate scenarios cannot be readily quantified. Grey systems theory is used to develop a grey prediction model (GPM) that provides an interval of uncertainty. The GPM is used to extrapolate a numerical interval around the decadal averages of precipitation and temperature through the year 2010 for a site in …
Authors
Bass B; Huang G; Yin Y; Cohen SJ
Book title
Stochastic and Statistical Methods in Hydrology and Environmental Engineering
Series
Water Science and Technology Library
Volume
10/3
Pagination
pp. 33-46
Publisher
Springer Nature
Publication Date
1994
DOI
10.1007/978-94-017-3083-9_3