Estimated surge in hospital and intensive care admission because of the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic in the Greater Toronto Area, Canada: a mathematical modelling study

Abstract

BACKGROUND: In pandemics, local hospitals need to anticipate a surge in health care needs. We examined the modelled surge because of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic that was used to inform the early hospital-level response against cases as they transpired. METHODS: To estimate hospital-level surge in March and April 2020, we simulated a range of scenarios of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) spread in …

Authors

Mishra S; Wang L; Ma H; Yiu KCY; Paterson JM; Kim E; Schull MJ; Pequegnat V; Lee A; Ishiguro L

Journal

CMAJ Open, Vol. 8, No. 3, pp. e593–e604

Publisher

Joule

Publication Date

7 2020

DOI

10.9778/cmajo.20200093

ISSN

2291-0026

Associated Experts

J Michael Paterson

Assistant Professor (Part-Time), Faculty of Health Sciences

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