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Toward a comprehensive system for constructing...
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Toward a comprehensive system for constructing compartmental epidemic models

Abstract

Compartmental models are valuable tools for investigating infectious diseases. Researchers building such models typically begin with a simple structure where compartments correspond to individuals with different epidemiological statuses, e.g., the classic SIR model which splits the population into susceptible, infected, and recovered compartments. However, as more information about a specific pathogen is discovered, or as a means to investigate the effects of heterogeneities, it becomes useful to stratify models further -- for example by age, geographic location, or pathogen strain. The operation of constructing stratified compartmental models from a pair of simpler models resembles the Cartesian product used in graph theory, but several key differences complicate matters. In this article we give explicit mathematical definitions for several so-called ``model products'' and provide examples where each is suitable. We also provide examples of model stratification where no existing model product will generate the desired result.

Authors

Flynn-Primrose D; Walker SC; Li M; Bolker BM; Earn DJD; Dushoff J

Publication date

July 18, 2023

DOI

10.48550/arxiv.2307.10308

Preprint server

arXiv

Labels

Sustainable Development Goals (SDG)

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