Impact macro-économique du vieillissement de la population sur les dépenses d’assurance maladie en France

A model is put forward to measure the impact of population aging on public health expenditures in France by 2020. This model has a central •mechanical” scenario, which consists in applying the expenditure by age observed today to the pyramid of future ages. Although its principle is simple, the scenario is based on a modelling of the link between expenditure and age as the empirical averages are unreliable. The first part of the article …