Journal article
Acceleration of plague outbreaks in the second pandemic
Abstract
Historical records reveal the temporal patterns of a sequence of plague epidemics in London, United Kingdom, from the 14th to 17th centuries. Analysis of these records shows that later epidemics spread significantly faster ("accelerated"). Between the Black Death of 1348 and the later epidemics that culminated with the Great Plague of 1665, we estimate that the epidemic growth rate increased fourfold. Currently available data do not provide …
Authors
Earn DJD; Ma J; Poinar H; Dushoff J; Bolker BM
Journal
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, Vol. 117, No. 44, pp. 27703–27711
Publisher
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Publication Date
November 3, 2020
DOI
10.1073/pnas.2004904117
ISSN
0027-8424