Field Data–Based Methodology for Estimating the Expected Pipe Break Rates of Water Distribution Systems

Presented in this paper is a field data–based probabilistic approach to quantifying the expected pipe break rates of water distribution systems. Uncertain demands and variations in the roughness of pipes during their service lives are described as random variables. Sample values of these random variables are generated and input to a distribution system model to determine the resulting minimum and maximum pressures in Monte Carlo simulations. …