BACKGROUND: Surgical procedures in Canada were historically funded through global hospital budgets. Activity-based funding models were developed to improve access, equity, timeliness, and value of care for priority areas. COVID-19 upended health priorities and resulted in unprecedented disruptions to surgical care, which created a significant procedure gap. We hypothesized that activity-based funding models influenced the magnitude and trajectory of this procedure gap.
METHODS: Population-based analysis of procedure rates comparing the pandemic (March 1, 2020-December 31, 2021) to a prepandemic baseline (January 1, 2017-February 29, 2020) in Ontario, Canada. Poisson generalized estimating equation models were used to predict expected rates in the pandemic based on the prepandemic baseline. Analyses were stratified by procedure type (outpatient, inpatient), body region, and funding category (activity-based funding programs vs. global budget).
RESULTS: In all, 281,328 fewer scheduled procedures were performed during the COVID-19 period compared with the prepandemic baseline (Rate Ratio 0.78; 95% CI 0.77-0.80). Inpatient procedures saw a larger reduction (24.8%) in volume compared with outpatient procedures (20.5%). An increase in the proportion of procedures funded through activity-based programs was seen during the pandemic (52%) relative to the prepandemic baseline (50%). Body systems funded predominantly through global hospital budgets (eg, gynecology, otologic surgery) saw the least months at or above baseline volumes, whereas those with multiple activity-based funding options (eg, musculoskeletal, abdominal) saw the most months at or above baseline volumes.
CONCLUSIONS: Those needing procedures funded through global hospital budgets may have been disproportionately disadvantaged by pandemic-related health care disruptions.
