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Tobacco Endgame Simulation Modelling: Assessing...
Journal article

Tobacco Endgame Simulation Modelling: Assessing the Impact of Policy Changes on Smoking Prevalence in 2035

Abstract

Smoking causes substantial amount of mortality and morbidity. This article presents the findings from simulation models that projected the impact of five potential Tobacco Endgame strategies on smoking prevalence in Ontario by 2035 and expected impact of smoking prevalence “less than 5 by 35” on tax revenue. We used Ontario SimSmoke simulation for modelling the expected impact of four strategies: plain packaging, free cessation services, …

Authors

Chaiton M; Dubray J; Guindon GE; Schwartz R

Journal

Forecasting, Vol. 3, No. 2, pp. 267–275

Publisher

MDPI

DOI

10.3390/forecast3020017

ISSN

2571-9394