Development of clustered polynomial chaos expansion model for stochastic hydrological prediction

This study introduced a clustered polynomial chaos expansion (CPCE) model to reveal random propagation and dynamic sensitivity of uncertainty parameters in hydrologic prediction. In the CPCE model, the random characteristics of the streamflow simulations resulting from parameter uncertainties are characterized through the polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) model based on the probabilistic collocation method. At the same time, a multivariate …