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On predictions in critical care: The individual...
Journal article

On predictions in critical care: The individual prognostication fallacy in elderly patients

Abstract

Predicting the future course of critical conditions involves personal experience, heuristics and statistical models. Although these methods may perform well for some cases and population averages, they suffer from substantial shortcomings when applied to individual patients. The reasons include methodological problems of statistical modeling as well as limitations of cross-sectional data sampling. Accurate predictions for individual patients …

Authors

Beil M; Sviri S; Flaatten H; De Lange DW; Jung C; Szczeklik W; Leaver S; Rhodes A; Guidet B; van Heerden PV

Journal

Journal of Critical Care, Vol. 61, , pp. 34–38

Publisher

Elsevier

Publication Date

February 2021

DOI

10.1016/j.jcrc.2020.10.006

ISSN

0883-9441