Clustering and Analysis of Household Power Load Based on HMM and Multi-factors

With the advance of the information and communication technology, smart grid, and smart metering, residential electricity usage data are available for analyzing household usage pattern. However, most such usage pattern analyses have been based on smart meter data. Geographical location and environment factors have not been well considered. In order to have a better understanding of residential electricity usage pattern, this paper studies the usage pattern based on both environment data and smart meter data. A Hidden Markov Model (HMM) is applied to learn the consumption dynamic behavior under the corresponding environments and a clustering method is applied to discover the typical usage patterns. The environmental adaptation which indicates the household reaction to the environment during the electricity consumption is revealed.