A hybrid inexact-stochastic water management model

An inexact-stochastic water management (ISWM) model is proposed and applied to a case study of water quality management within an agricultural system. The model is based on an inexact chance-constrained programming (ICCP) method, which improves upon the existing inexact and stochastic programming approaches by allowing both distribution information in B and uncertainties in A and C to be effectively incorporated within its optimization process. In its solution process, the ICCP model (under a given pi level) is first transformed into two deterministic submodels, which correspond to the upper and lower bounds for the desired objective function value. This transformation process is based on an interactive algorithm, which is different from normal interval analysis or best/worst case analysis. Interval solutions, which are feasible and stable in the given decision space, can then be obtained by solving the two submodels sequentially. Thus, decision alternatives can be generated by adjusting decision variable values within their solution intervals. The obtained ICCP solutions are also useful for decision makers to obtain insight regarding tradeoffs between environmental and economic objectives and between increased certainties and decreased safeties (or increased risks). Results of the case study indicate that useful solutions for the planning of agricultural activities in the water quality management system have been obtained. A number of decision alternatives have been generated and analyzed based on projected applicable conditions. Generally, some alternatives can be considered when water quality objective is given priority, while the others may provide compromises between environmental and economic considerations. The above alternatives represent various options between environmental and economic tradeoffs. Willingness to accept low agricultural income will guarantee meeting the water quality objectives. A strong desire to acquire high agricultural income will run into the risk of violating water quality constraints.