Analyzing variation of inflow from the Syr Darya to the Aral Sea: A Bayesian-neural-network-based factorial analysis method

In this study, a Bayesian-neural-network-based factorial analysis (abbreviated as BNN-FA) method is developed for quantifying the effects of multiple factors on inflow from the Syr Darya to the Aral Sea (abbreviated as ISA). BNN-FA cannot only reflect the complex relationship between inputs and outputs, but also reveal the individual and interactive effects of multiple factors. BNN-FA is applied to the downstream of the Syr Darya river basin, …