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Awareness-driven behavior changes can shift the...
Journal article

Awareness-driven behavior changes can shift the shape of epidemics away from peaks and toward plateaus, shoulders, and oscillations

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic has caused more than 1,000,000 reported deaths globally, of which more than 200,000 have been reported in the United States as of October 1, 2020. Public health interventions have had significant impacts in reducing transmission and in averting even more deaths. Nonetheless, in many jurisdictions, the decline of cases and fatalities after apparent epidemic peaks has not been rapid. Instead, the asymmetric decline in cases …

Authors

Weitz JS; Park SW; Eksin C; Dushoff J

Journal

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, Vol. 117, No. 51, pp. 32764–32771

Publisher

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

Publication Date

December 22, 2020

DOI

10.1073/pnas.2009911117

ISSN

0027-8424