Risk of recurrence after a first unprovoked venous thromboembolism: external validation of the Vienna Prediction Model with pooled individual patient data

BACKGROUND: In order to stratify patients with a first unprovoked venous thromboembolism (VTE) according to their recurrence risk and to identify those who would actually benefit from indefinite anticoagulation, three prediction models have been developed so far; none of them has been yet externally validated. OBJECTIVE: To externally validate the Vienna Prediction Model (VPM), a prediction guide for estimating the recurrence risk after a first …