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Delayed Pantropical Carbon Sink Recovery Due To...
Journal article

Delayed Pantropical Carbon Sink Recovery Due To Asynchronous Post‐El Niño Photosynthesis and Respiration Trajectories

Abstract

Abstract Occurring in 2015/16, the strong El Niño has been shown to significantly influence the pantropical carbon fluxes with multiple lines of evidence. However, a comprehensive understanding on the regional and vegetation‐specific net ecosystem productivity (NEP) in response to this El Niño event and its recovery trajectories remain unclear. We revisited the controlling factors in the recovery of pantropical NEP from the 2015/16 El Niño until 2020 using a data assimilation framework. We estimated the pantropical net carbon emissions of 0.91 Pg C/yr in 2015 and the mean fraction of recovered area was 0.77 ± 0.07 during 2016–2020. Specifically, we found that temperature and radiation played dominant roles in controlling the recovery of forests' NEP via reducing photosynthesis. Furthermore, we revealed the compound climatic controls on enhanced ecosystem respiration offset NEP recovery over non‐forests. These results suggest that the divergence in carbon fluxes regulates the pantropical ecosystem net carbon uptake recovery. Plain Language Summary The climate change induced regional extremes have shown to largely impact the net carbon sink in ecosystems, such as the ENSO for the pan tropics. However, the recovery in net ecosystem productivity (NEP) and the non‐forest regions was not well understood. We found that temperature and radiation played dominant roles in controlling the recovery of forests' NEP via reducing photosynthesis, while enhanced post‐El Niño ecosystem respiration offset NEP recovery over non‐forests. Key Points Pantropical net carbon sink constrained by both top‐down and bottom‐up approaches The mean recovery fractions of pantropical net carbon sink from 2015 El Nino was ∼0.77 Enhanced respiration offset the net carbon sink recovery over non‐forests, temperature and radiation limited photosynthesis over forests

Authors

Wu M; Scholze M; Chen JM; Kerr Y; Vossbeck M; Rodriguez‐Fernandez N; Kaminski T

Journal

Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 52, No. 19,

Publisher

American Geophysical Union (AGU)

Publication Date

October 16, 2025

DOI

10.1029/2025gl116236

ISSN

0094-8276

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