Capturing site-to-site variability through Hierarchical Bayesian calibration of a process-based dynamic vegetation model

Abstract Process-based ecosystem models help us understand and predict ecosystem processes, but using them has long involved a difficult choice between performing data- and labor-intensive site-level calibrations or relying on general parameters that may not reflect local conditions. Hierarchical Bayesian (HB) calibration provides a third option that frees modelers from assuming model parameters to be completely generic or completely …