Introducing time series features based dynamic weights estimation framework for hydrologic forecast merging

Accurate and reliable hydrologic forecasting through multi-model ensemble averaging is crucial for reducing uncertainty, which aids in effective water resources management and flood risk mitigation. This study addresses the research gap of the limited application of time-varying weights in hydrologic forecast merging, as existing methods rely on weights that do not adapt to changes in model performance over time. We propose a novel framework …