Clinical judgment shows similar and sometimes superior discrimination compared to prognostic clinical prediction models: a systematic review

OBJECTIVES: To systematically review the comparative statistical performance (discrimination and /or calibration) of prognostic clinical prediction models (CPMs) and clinician judgment (CJ). STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: We conducted a systematic review of observational studies in PubMed, Medline, Embase, and CINAHL. Eligible studies reported direct statistical comparison between prognostic CPMs and CJ. Risk of bias was assessed using the PROBAST …