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Prediction intervals for future records
Journal article

Prediction intervals for future records

Abstract

Suppose upper records were observed from a X-sequence of iid continuous random variables, and that another independent Y-sequence of iid variables from the same distribution is to be observed. In this paper, we then derive various exact distribution-free prediction intervals for records from the Y-sequence based on the record values from the X-sequence. Specifically, distribution-free prediction intervals for individual records as well as outer and inner prediction intervals are derived based on X-records, and exact expressions for the coverage probabilities of these intervals are also derived. A data representing the records of temperatures is used to illustrate all the results developed here.

Authors

Raqab MZ; Balakrishnan N

Journal

Statistics & Probability Letters, Vol. 78, No. 13, pp. 1955–1963

Publisher

Elsevier

Publication Date

September 15, 2008

DOI

10.1016/j.spl.2008.01.064

ISSN

0167-7152

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