Abstract The 2019 extreme positive Indian Ocean dipole drove climate extremes over Indian Ocean rim countries with unclear carbon‐cycle responses. We investigated its impact on net biome productivity (NBP) and its constituent fluxes, using the Global Carbon Assimilation System (GCASv2) product, process‐based model simulations from TRENDYv9, and satellite‐based gross primary productivity (GPP). By distinguishing two separate regions, the India‐Africa and Asia‐Pacific, GCASv2 indicated enhanced terrestrial carbon uptake of 0.23 ± 0.20 PgC and release of 0.38 ± 0.15 PgC, respectively, during September–December (SOND) 2019. These NBP anomalies had comparable magnitudes to those following the 2015 extreme El Niño which, however, caused the consistent carbon release in both regions. The TRENDYv9 model ensemble confirmed these NBP responses, albeit with smaller magnitudes. These regional NBP anomalies were related to soil moisture variations with a dominant role of GPP. Understanding the impact of IOD provides new insights into mechanisms driving interannual variations in regional carbon cycling.
Plain Language Summary The extreme Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) can drive climate extremes, such as floods, heatwaves, droughts, and wildfires, over the Indian Ocean rim countries. However, responses of regional terrestrial carbon cycling to IOD remained unclear. We used the net biome productivity (NBP) from an atmospheric inversion and multiple terrestrial biosphere models to demonstrate an enhanced terrestrial carbon uptake and release over the India‐Africa and Asia‐Pacific regions, respectively, during the extreme positive IOD (September–December) in 2019. These IOD‐induced regional NBP anomalies showed comparable magnitudes but different patterns to those following the 2015 extreme El Niño. Along with the more frequent extreme IOD under future greenhouse warming, IOD will be an important mechanism driving interannual variations in regional carbon cycling.
Key Points The 2019 extreme positive Indian Ocean Dipole caused the enhanced land carbon uptake over India‐Africa and release over Asia‐Pacific during September–December These regional net biome productivity (NBP) anomalies were closely related to soil moisture variations with a dominant role of gross primary productivity These Indian Ocean Dipole‐induced regional NBP anomalies showed comparable magnitudes but different patterns to those following the 2015 extreme El Niño