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A Demographic Model for Small Area Population...
Journal article

A Demographic Model for Small Area Population Projections: An Application to the Census Metropolitan Area of Hamilton in Ontario, Canada

Abstract

This paper reports on the development of a demographic model capable of projecting the spatial distribution of population by age and sex for small areas such as census tracts. The proposed modeling framework makes use of two components: the Rogers multiregional population projection model and the aggregate spatial multinomial logit (ASMNL) model. The Rogers model utilizes cohort vital statistics on fertility, mortality, and migration to project …

Authors

Kanaroglou PS; Maoh HF; Newbold B; Scott DM; Paez A

Journal

Environment and Planning A Economy and Space, Vol. 41, No. 4, pp. 964–979

Publisher

SAGE Publications

Publication Date

April 2009

DOI

10.1068/a40172

ISSN

0308-518X