selected scholarly activity
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chapters
- Molecular epidemiology of viral infections. 2625-2639. 2024
- On the Reproduction Number of Epidemics with Sub-exponential Growth. 309-320. 2019
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journal articles
- Incorporating Social Determinants of Health in Infectious Disease Models: A Systematic Review of Guidelines.. Medical decision making. 44:742-755. 2024
- Mathematical modelling for pandemic preparedness in Canada: Learning from COVID-19.. Canada Communicable Disease Report. 50:345-356. 2024
- Publisher Correction: Antigenic drift and epidemiological severity of seasonal influenza in Canada. Scientific Reports. 14:2952. 2024
- Emergence and spread of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern in Canada: a retrospective analysis from clinical and wastewater data. BMC Infectious Diseases. 24:139. 2024
- Do COVID-19 Infectious Disease Models Incorporate the Social Determinants of Health? A Systematic Review.. Public Health Reviews. 45:1607057. 2024
- Rapid Spread of Omicron Sub-Lineage as Evidence by Wastewater Surveillance. Water (Switzerland). 16:318-318. 2024
- ern: An R package to estimate the effective reproduction number using clinical and wastewater surveillance data. PLoS ONE. 19:e0305550-e0305550. 2024
- A wastewater-based risk index for SARS-CoV-2 infections among three cities on the Canadian Prairie. Science of the Total Environment. 876:162800-162800. 2023
- Coupling wastewater-based epidemiological surveillance and modelling of SARS-COV-2/COVID-19: Practical applications at the Public Health Agency of Canada. Canada Communicable Disease Report. 49:166-174. 2023
- SUP: a probabilistic framework to propagate genome sequence uncertainty, with applications. NAR Genomics and Bioinformatics. 5:lqad038. 2023
- Editorial: Wastewater-based epidemiological surveillance of respiratory pathogens. Frontiers in Public Health. 11:1328452. 2023
- Effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical interventions to reduce SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Canada and their association with COVID-19 hospitalization rates. Canada Communicable Disease Report. 48:438-448. 2022
- Salivary testing for SARS-CoV-2 in the pediatric population: a diagnostic accuracy study. CMAJ open. 10:E981-E987. 2022
- Antigenic drift and epidemiological severity of seasonal influenza in Canada. Scientific Reports. 12:15625. 2022
- Statistical framework to support the epidemiological interpretation of SARS-CoV-2 concentration in municipal wastewater. Scientific Reports. 12:13490. 2022
- A wastewater-based epidemic model for SARS-CoV-2 with application to three Canadian cities. Epidemics. 39:100560-100560. 2022
- Implications of the unexpected persistence of human rhinovirus/enterovirus during the COVID‐19 pandemic in Canada. Influenza and other Respiratory Viruses. 16:190-192. 2022
- Age-dependence of healthcare interventions for COVID-19 in Ontario, Canada. BMC International Health and Human Rights. 21:706. 2021
- Simple mathematical modelling approaches to assessing the transmission risk of SARS-CoV-2 at gatherings. Canada Communicable Disease Report. 47:184-194. 2021
- Forward-looking serial intervals correctly link epidemic growth to reproduction numbers. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 118:e2011548118. 2021
- Estimations du taux de létalité de la COVID-19 au Canada et aux États-Unis sur une période donnée. CANADIAN MEDICAL ASSOCIATION JOURNAL. 192:E1482-E1486. 2020
- Age-dependence of healthcare interventions for SARS-CoV-2 infection in Ontario, Canada 2020
- Reconciling early-outbreak estimates of the basic reproductive number and its uncertainty: framework and applications to the novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) outbreak. Journal of the Royal Society Interface. 17:20200144-20200144. 2020
- Temporal estimates of case-fatality rate for COVID-19 outbreaks in Canada and the United States. CANADIAN MEDICAL ASSOCIATION JOURNAL. 192:E666-E670. 2020
- Inferring generation-interval distributions from contact-tracing data. Journal of the Royal Society Interface. 17:20190719-20190719. 2020
- Curbing the 2019 Samoa measles outbreak. The Lancet Infectious Diseases. 20:287-288. 2020
- Effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of a Clostridium difficile vaccine candidate in a hospital setting. Vaccine. 38:2585-2591. 2020
- Clostridium difficile intervention timelines for diagnosis, isolation, and treatment. American Journal of Infection Control. 47:1370-1374. 2019
- Inferring generation-interval distributions from contact-tracing data 2019
- A practical generation-interval-based approach to inferring the strength of epidemics from their speed. Epidemics. 27:12-18. 2019
- Equivalence of the Erlang Seir Epidemic Model and the Renewal Equation 2018
- Couple serostatus patterns in sub-Saharan Africa illuminate the relative roles of transmission rates and sexual network characteristics in HIV epidemiology. Scientific Reports. 8:6675. 2018
- Assessing the benefits of early pandemic influenza vaccine availability: a case study for Ontario, Canada. Scientific Reports. 8:6492. 2018
- Two approaches to forecast Ebola synthetic epidemics. Epidemics. 22:36-42. 2018
- On the origin of obesity: identifying the biological, environmental and cultural drivers of genetic risk among human populations. Obesity Reviews. 19:121-149. 2018
- Equivalence of the Erlang-Distributed SEIR Epidemic Model and the Renewal Equation. SIAM Journal on Applied Mathematics. 78:3258-3278. 2018
- Individual movements and contact patterns in a Canadian long-term care facility. AIMS Public Health. 5:111-121. 2018
- Relatedness of the incidence decay with exponential adjustment (IDEA) model, “Farr's law” and SIR compartmental difference equation models. Infectious Disease Modelling. 3:1-12. 2018
- Quantifying the contribution of asymptomatic infection to the cumulative incidence. Epidemiology and Infection. 145:1256-1258. 2017
- Epidemiological impact of a syphilis vaccine: a simulation study. Epidemiology and Infection. 144:3244-3252. 2016
- Understanding apparently non-exponential outbreaks Comment on “Mathematical models to characterize early epidemic growth: A review” by Gerardo Chowell et al.. Physics of Life Reviews. 18:105-108. 2016
- Intrinsic and realized generation intervals in infectious-disease transmission. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Biological Sciences. 282:20152026-20152026. 2015
- The effect of sexually transmitted co-infections on HIV viral load amongst individuals on antiretroviral therapy: a systematic review and meta-analysis. BMC Infectious Diseases. 15:249. 2015
- Statistical power and validity of Ebola vaccine trials in Sierra Leone: a simulation study of trial design and analysis. The Lancet Infectious Diseases. 15:703-710. 2015
- HIV Sexual Transmission Is Predominantly Driven by Single Individuals Rather than Discordant Couples: A Model-Based Approach. PLoS ONE. 8:e82906-e82906. 2013
- Association de la surveillance épidémiologique basée sur les eaux usées et de la modélisation du SRAS-CoV-2/COVID-19 : applications pratiques à l'Agence de santé publique du Canada. Canada Communicable Disease Report. 49:187-197.
- Efficacité des interventions non pharmaceutiques pour réduire la transmission du SRAS-CoV-2 au Canada et leur association avec les taux d’hospitalisation relatifs à la COVID-19. Canada Communicable Disease Report. 48:484-495.
- Méthodes simples de modélisation mathématique pour évaluer le risque de transmission du SRAS-CoV-2 pendant les rassemblements. Canada Communicable Disease Report. 47:201-212.
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preprints
- Laboratory tests for influenza and the respiratory syncytial virus may be used as a proxy for associated hospitalizations in Canada 2024
- Emergence and Spread of SARS-CoV-2 Variants of Concern in Canada: a Retrospective Analysis from Clinical and Wastewater Data 2022
- Coupling Wastewater-Based Epidemiological Surveillance and Modelling of SARS-COV-2/COVID-19: Practical Applications at the Public Health Agency of Canada 2022
- Variance in Variants: Propagating Genome Sequence Uncertainty into Phylogenetic Lineage Assignment 2021
- Implications of the Unexpected Persistance of Human Rhinovirus/Enterovirus during the COVID-19 Pandemic in Canada 2021
- A Wastewater-Based Epidemic Model for SARS-CoV-2 with Application to Three Canadian Cities 2021
- Age-dependence of healthcare interventions for COVID-19 in Ontario, Canada 2020
- Cohort-based approach to understanding the roles of generation and serial intervals in shaping epidemiological dynamics 2020
- Reconciling early-outbreak estimates of the basic reproductive number and its uncertainty: framework and applications to the novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) outbreak 2020
- A practical generation interval-based approach to inferring the strength of epidemics from their speed 2018
- Relatedness of the Incidence Decay with Exponential Adjustment (IDEA) Model, "Farr's Law" and Compartmental Difference Equation SIR Models 2016